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October 2, 2026

Bonus Content: Goldman CEO Shift: Why Long-Term Holders Should Stay Put


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Bonus Article

Goldman CEO Shift: Why Long-Term Holders Should Stay Put

A CEO succession story broke over Wall Street on Monday night, and by Tuesday Goldman Sachs shares were sliding alongside JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America as longer-dated Treasury yields weighed on the group. The question worth asking isn’t who takes the top job. It’s whether a change at the top should change anything about owning Goldman Sachs for the long run. The answer, on the evidence, is no.

What the Board Is Planning

The Goldman Sachs board is considering a succession plan in which President and Chief Operating Officer John Waldron takes over from David Solomon as CEO, potentially as early as 2027 or 2028. Goldman has said succession is regularly discussed by the board, but that there is no definitive timeline for a handover. There is also a real operational risk: Solomon may not be ready to give up his seat, and Waldron may not be willing to wait indefinitely.

Solomon, who took the helm in October 2018, has now been in the role for nearly eight years. Goldman stock has risen substantially since he became CEO. That outperformance didn’t happen by accident. Solomon got Goldman back on track after its consumer-banking push, and with help from a deals rebound and the artificial intelligence boom, Goldman is once again a cleaner story for investors as the top pure-play investment bank.

The Business Doesn’t Need Rescuing

Goldman delivered a record quarterly performance in the second quarter of 2026, reporting net revenues of $20.34 billion and diluted earnings per share of $20.98. The equities unit brought in $7.42 billion. The bank also pointed to announced M&A advisory volumes above $1 trillion in the first half of 2026.

Waldron, for his part, is no outsider parachuted in. His career at Goldman ran through investment banking. He served as co-head of leveraged finance, as global co-head of the financial sponsors group, and then as co-head of investment banking before moving onto Solomon’s leadership team. Other firms tried to pull him away, including Apollo Global Management. The board approved a retention award valued at $80 million in early 2025 to keep him. That is what retention looks like when a firm is protecting its next leader, not improvising one.

The Wealth Case Rests on Capital Returns, Not the Nameplate

For investors holding Goldman as a compounder, the succession question is essentially a distraction. Following the 2026 stress test cycle, Goldman lifted its quarterly dividend 11% to $5.00 per share. During the second quarter alone, Goldman returned $5.36 billion to common shareholders, including $4.00 billion in share repurchases and $1.36 billion in dividends. The payout ratio was reported at 29% for the parent, leaving substantial earnings to fund further growth or additional returns.

Goldman is scheduled to report third-quarter 2026 results on October 13, before the market opens, with consensus estimates around $15.18 in EPS. The backdrop hasn’t cratered. The franchise is intact.

Risks Worth Watching

The transition does carry real risks, though none of them are about leadership competency. Any discord is more likely to come from power struggles at the level below CEO, where senior bankers will jostle for positions of long-term influence. Separately, recent insider selling has been modest, and it may still raise questions about near-term confidence. And with Goldman’s stock having pulled back from its highs, a market still nervous about long-end rates adds another layer of near-term uncertainty for the whole bank group.

The Wealth Takeaway

The enduring lesson here is one that applies to every blue-chip holding: management transitions at well-run institutions are noise, not signal, for long-term investors. Goldman Sachs is not changing its business model. It is not losing its franchise. It is handing a COO who has spent nearly three decades inside the firm the keys to one of the most profitable banks on earth. The dividend keeps growing, the buybacks keep running, and the business keeps compounding. A change in the name on the door is not a reason to change anything in a portfolio built for the long haul.